Retail Portfolio Management

It’s difficult being a retail electricity provider in today’s deregulated markets. To acquire and retain customers, you’ve got to offer competitive and reliable service despite increasingly volatile market and weather behavior.

To survive, let alone thrive, you need the most accurate forecasts available.

Tailored to the needs of innovative retailers

Retail energy providers

Future-proof your competitive strategies and manage your short-term market positions with confidence.

Retailers managing generation

Predict the output of your assets to optimize market positions and maximize financial performance.

Book a demo

Get historical forecasts

Strategic market professionals trust Amperon

“Amperon enables us to grow with eyes wide open and serve our customers intimately by knowing exactly what our position is and how we’re serving them.”

Chris Smith

General Manager of Electricity at Shipley Energy

“Innovation is always a challenge for forecasting. Having Amperon as a partner allows us to understand our risk and load forecasts while we continue to innovate our product offerings.”

Roozbeh Amirazodi

Head of Supply and Portfolio Management at Rhythm Energy

“We use Amperon’s forecasting platform every day to help make better-informed decisions and to optimize our portfolio. It’s been a pivotal tool in our decision-making.”

Trader

at Orsted

“Amperon on Snowflake enables us to easily integrate our different data streams into a single unified view. We value having complete access and control over our analytics and visualization tools.”

Jack Wang

at Axpo

Why retail energy providers choose Amperon

Better insights,
bigger margins

Our customized forecasts help you:

Match supply and demand precisely

Reduce market exposure

Boost profit margins

Develop competitive pricing

Actual customer data

Our forecasts incorporate your customers’ contract and meter metadata to facilitate load risk management.

Tracking your contractual obligations on your forecasting platform streamlines the process of load-risk analysis.

Better weather insights & scenarios

Our ensemble weather model ingests exponentially more weather data than traditional forecasting approaches.

Stress test different weather scenarios to understand potential impacts on your portfolio and on the market.

Seamless bidding process

Amperon’s Portfolio Scheduling can link your forecasts to an end-to-end process for submitting day-ahead bids directly to the ISO.

Streamline bid submissions for your entire portfolio to ensure smooth operations and minimize the risk of human error.

Energy Risk Reporting

Using short- and long-term forecasts split into fixed and variable components, we calculate trade volumes to provide clear visibility into net open positions and reduce market exposure.

Gain clear visibility into your net open position to hedge more precisely, optimize procurement strategies, and align trading decisions with load realities.

With Amperon's demand forecasting, you receive answers you can trust, delivered in real-time. Sourcing from 25+ years of vetted weather and demand data on the most trusted platform designed exclusively for energy grid operations.

How it works

Energy Data Inputs

We identify and collect the relevant data streams from retail customers, market operators and weather vendors.

AI/ML modeling

A blend of AI and machine-learning models produces our forecasts and updates them hourly as new data arrives.

Flexible Outputs for Any Workflow

The forecasts integrate seamlessly with Amperon customers’ preferred analytical tools.

Actionable insights

Retailers make better informed decisions that improve operations and achieve strategic goals.

Product

Benefits and features

Understand how changes to your portfolio shift demand.

15-day

short-term forecasts

5-year

long-term forecast

Customized

weather points

5 ISOs

with supported scheduling (ERCOT, PJM, ISONE, NYISO, and MISO)

6.5M+

residential customer equivalents served

9 out of 10

of US' largest REPs use Amperon

Real-time meter insights

Mitigate load risk with accurate demand insights and customizable weather scenarios

Upload hedges to visualize your positions alongside your forecasts all on one dashboard

Seamless onboarding of data from EDI, AMI, and other custom formats

Long-term forecast scenarios for growth (Zero Meter Growth vs Demand Growth Adjusted) and weather (Extreme, Mild, 15-year Normal, and custom-years)

Anticipate how load will respond to weather

15-day

forecasts

1-hour

granularity in North American ISOs

96-hour

historical forecast slider

15-minute

granularity in European TSOs

global grids

weather vendors

Real-time portfolio insights

Short-term forecasts updated hourly and long-term forecasts updated weekly

Weather scenarios to stress test different weather conditions

4 weather vendors plus an ensemble weather forecast

Quickly analyze historical data broken down by resolution and load type

Know how renewables will affect the market

15-day

forecasts

1 hour

granularity in North American ISOs

15-minute

granularity in European TSOs

96-hour

historical forecast slider

additional data sets for wind and solar

weather vendors

Real-time meter insights

Weather scenarios to stress test different weather conditions

Best-in-class weather inputs

Breakdown forecasts by Load or Weather Zones

Ensemble weather forecast

Know how your renewables will perform

15-day

forecasts

5-minute

granularity

15+

weather variables

2-3%

cnMAE accuracy achieved for solar

targeted cnMAE accuracy for wind

Hourly

4 weather vendors

Real-time operational insights

Confidently schedule bids for the day- or week-ahead

Manage generation with dual storage assets during high-priced events

Increase your bottom line with next-generation forecasting

Custom generated forecasts become more accurate over time

Success stories

Summer 2025 Heat Wave - PJM

Event:

90+° temps swept across the East Coast in June causing the highest summer demand in 10 years.

Challenge

The ISO was late in detecting demand would spike above 160 GW due to the excessive heat and AC usage.

Amperon result

Amperon forecasted demand to be near 160 GW a full seven days out. Our Day-Ahead accuracy was under .5% for the peak hours of the two highest-demand days.

Impact

Real-time prices soared past $3,000/MWh. Traders using Amperon had a full week to capitalize on price movement before the rest of the market caught on.

The Emerging Duck Curve - ERCOT

Event:

For regions like ERCOT with substantial amounts of solar, the emerging duck-curve of daily net demand creates a unique risk of power shortages in the early evening as people return home from work and turn on power-hungry appliances.

Challenge

If forecasted wind is lower than expected, then real-time electricity prices spike as the sun starts to set. This causes reliability issues on the grid and retailers scrambling to purchase additional power on the wholesale market.

Amperon result

In the fall, ERCOT saw high net demand in the evening hours due to weak wind during the solar ramp-down. When Day-Ahead LMP prices spiked to $200 on October 25th, Amperon accurately called the demand for that hour within 0.03%

Impact

In ERCOT, Amperon’s net demand forecasts are 30% more accurate than the ISO for the last 12 months, letting retailers mitigate risk during high price times with confidence.

FAQ

Power profitable growth with the best energy forecasts in the industry

Tailored to the needs of innovative retailers

Retail energy providers

Retailers managing generation

Strategic market professionals trust Amperon

Why retail energy providers choose Amperon

Actual customer data

Better weather insights & scenarios

Seamless bidding process

Energy Risk Reporting

How it works

Product

Benefits and features

Success stories

Make sure you have the tools to compete