How retailers can meet the demands of the future

The difference between retailers that stay in business and those that flame out is often the effectiveness of their risk management.

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Retailers have access to the same tools for managing their exposure to market volatility. They can hedge against price increases by locking in futures contracts, and they can tune their positions with options and swaps. What competing retailers often don’t have is the same access to accurate demand forecasting. The accuracy of these predictions can determine the profitability of one retailer, or the collapse of another.

With the increased complexities of the energy transition, retailers regularly face the existential threat of getting their predictions horribly wrong.

In this paper, we examine:

  • The four biggest drivers of volatility in the market including: 1) the increase of extreme weather events and the new winter peak 2) the complexity of scaling solar 3) the proliferation of power storage and 4) EVs as amoving target.
  • How conventional demand forecasting is not equipped to handle the increased volume of useful data.
  • How advanced, AI-powered demand forecasting is making the difference for successful retailers.

With accurate demand forecasts in place, retailers will gain a competitive advantage in acquiring and retaining customers. The money saved with smaller risk premiums and reliable cost-savings in the wholesale market can be put to more aggressive price offerings. Plus, they can develop more complex customer programs if they have robust models to forecast them and manage the risk.

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More Accurate

Compared to the ISO.

13 Hours
Saved Weekly

On forecasting analysis and scheduling bids.

Global Grids

In the US, Canada, Australia.


On purchasing wholesale energy.

Amperon provides the highest precision electricity analytics to help companies manage risk and navigate volatile energy markets.

Our award-winning machine learning models provide demand and supply analytics for every hour of every day – giving your portfolio the most accurate forecasts when it counts.

Amperon’s innovative modeling approaches produce high quality demand forecasts for the Australian NEM.
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Michael Davidson
Manager Operational Forecasting at Australian Energy Market Operator
Our virtual power plant utilizes precise forecasts and analytics that Amperon helps deliver. We are excited to continue growing with them as our trading desk partner.
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Matt Duesterberg
Founder and President at OhmConnect
We use Amperon’s forecasting platform every day to help make better-informed decisions and to optimize our portfolio. It’s been a pivotal tool in our decision-making.
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Trader at Orsted, the world’s largest developer of offshore wind farms
Innovation is always a challenge for forecasting. Having Amperon as a partner allows us to understand our risk and load forecasts while we continue to innovate our product offerings.
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Roozbeh Amirazodi
Head of supply and portfolio management at Rhythm Energy